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December 29, 2006

日本の人口のピーク

 「日本の人口のピークは2004年12月だったことが判明」とラジオで聞いた。
 真偽を確かめたくて、ネット検索したら、読売ニュースがヒットできた。
  http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/national/news/20061227i111.htm

日本の人口ピーク、04年12月の1億2783万人  総務省は27日、日本の総人口のピークは2004年12月の1億2783万8000人だったと発表した。  05年10月の国勢調査の総人口が確定したのを受けて、毎月公表している推計人口を改定した。  それによると、総人口は04年、毎月増減を繰り返しながら、12月に最高になった。05年に入っても増減が続いたが、04年12月の水準を超えた月はなかった。  また、05年10月の国勢調査人口(1億2776万8000人)と比較対象になる04年10月の推計人口は、1億2778万7000人に修正され、1年間で1万9000人の減少となった。総人口には日本に3か月以上在住する外国人も含まれている。 (2006年12月27日22時15分 読売新聞)
 これは、重要な出来事だと思う。  もはや右肩上がりの人口増が見込めないのだ。  日本の税収はだれが支えるのか、高齢社会の問題はどう解決していくのか。  「1人の老人を○○人の若者で支える」といったことをよく耳にする。  そういう不安をあおる話題も多いが、事実を受け入れるなら前向きな話題も必要だ。  働き手がいなくて農地が荒れるともいえるし、農地が余ってくるとも言える。  学校も余ってくる・工場も余ってくる・・・。  今はその程度しか思いうかばないが、僕は日本の転換期を自覚する必要があると思う。 

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